The federal,┬аprovincial and territorial governments┬аhave failed to plan┬аemissions cuts sufficient┬аto achieve Canada’s net-zero┬аtargets, says a new climate report.
The report by the Pembina Institute, an energy and climate think-tank, concludes that Canada isn’t going to achieve its recently announced 2030 or 2050 net-zero goals.
“Unfortunately, we are not on track to meeting Canada’s new target of reducing global greenhouse gas emissions by 40 to 45 per cent by 2030, based on 2005 levels,” said Isabelle Turcotte, Pembina’s┬аdirector of federal policy.
“The most optimistic projections show that we are on track to reduce emissions by 36 per cent. So there’s a big gap here.”
Turcotte said the institute’s report is the first to assess planned federal, provincial and territorial action to meet the net-zero objectives.
Although Ottawa has established new targets, the report finds that provinces like Alberta, Saskatchewan and Ontario haven’t┬аcommitted┬аto meeting them yet. Other jurisdictions┬аlike British Columbia have made ambitious commitments, says the report,┬аbut it’s not at all clear how they intend to achieve them.
“The approach to climate action in Canada is piecemeal,” the report says. “It also lacks accountability for governments who promise climate action but don’t have timelines or policies to match the urgency of the situation.”┬а
Pembina’s report says that while progress has been made тАФ nationwide┬аcarbon pricing and the┬аphase-out of┬аcoal-fired electricity тАФ┬аit’s been offset by emissions increases elsewhere.
The federal government recently boosted its target for┬аgreenhouse gas emissions to┬аa reduction of 40 to┬а45 per cent from 2005 levels by 2030, and to┬аnet-zero emissions by 2050. The report says the federal government can only do so much, since provinces and territories have jurisdiction over the┬аenergy sector.
Federal┬аEnvironment Minister┬аJonathan Wilkinson┬аsaid the report points to work that still┬аneeds to be done┬аby Ottawa┬аand other levels of government. He said┬аthe federal government┬аcan’t┬аdo all the heavy lifting alone.
“The findings are particularly challenging for some of the provinces that have been less robust in their work on the climate file, most particularly some of the Conservative premiers and provinces in the in the Prairies,” said Wilkinson, who read an advance copy of the report.
Ottawa “working against us”
Both the Saskatchewan and Alberta governments┬аresponded to the report.
“Instead of working with┬аSaskatchewan, the federal government is actively working against us,” said Saskatchewan Environment Minister Warren Kaeding┬аin a media statement. “There is no better example of this than the federal government’s arbitrary decision to reject┬аSaskatchewan’s proposal to transfer control of the carbon tax, despite having accepted similar proposals from other regions of the country.”
In a news statement, the Alberta government acknowledged that achieving a net-zero target will require cooperation from a range of partners.
“Net-zero targets do not mean much without a realistic plan to achieve them. The proposed new federal target is a national emissions target that will require action across all parts of the economy,” said Alberta Environment Minister┬аJason Nixon.
Alberta accounts for most of Canada’s absolute emissions. The province has implemented a cap on oilsands emissions, committed to phasing out coal and introduced┬аnew methane regulations and its Technology Innovation and Emissions Reduction (TIER) program.
“Industries and the emissions-reduction know-how within the province will be key to realizing the federal climate ambitions,” Nixon said.
The report offers several recommendations to reverse the trend. All governments, it says, should commit to more ambitious emissions targets to achieve Canada’s goals, and independent accountability agencies┬аthat report to Parliament and regional legislatures should┬аbe established.
Governments and businesses must also set carbon budgets that place limits on emissions, says the report. It says that┬аall governments should prepare┬аfor the decline of the oil and gas industry,┬аdraft┬аnet-zero transition plans for the energy sector and push for the adoption of zero-emission vehicles.
Pembina’s report was compiled with the help of Simon Fraser University’s School of Resource and Environmental Management. The think tank said the findings were shared with the provincial, territorial and federal governments to verify accuracy.
