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NATO leaders signal a harder line on China

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With a flurry of fist-bumps, NATO leaders concluded their first mid-pandemic summit today by taking a harder line on China than the world’s leading democracies did last weekend at the G7 summit.

The final communique from the trans-Atlantic military alliance’s summit in Brussels presented Beijing as a security challenge to western countries because its “coercive┬аbehaviour” set a course for future security partnerships in the Pacific region and beyond.

“We have agreed to work more closely with, for instance, Australia, Japan and Asia-Pacific countries,” said NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg following the meeting.┬а“That’s also … how to respond to a more assertive China.”

Stoltenberg and other NATO leaders said┬аthat while they want to┬аkeep┬аup a dialogue with Beijing, they have watched China’s┬аmilitary modernization with┬аconcern.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg speaks during a media conference at a NATO summit in Brussels, Monday, June 14, 2021. (Kenzo Tribouillard/AP)

NATO would like to draw China into some sort of arms control framework┬аbut has received a chilly reception from Beijing.

In many respects, the intense focus on China at the NATO┬аsummit suggests┬аthe beginning of a major strategic shift.

“I think China is, as I have said many times, a gigantic fact in our lives and new strategic consideration for NATO,” said British Prime Minister Boris Johnson today┬аas leaders arrived at the alliance headquarters, which was ringed with razor wire and security forces.

Going into both the┬аNATO summit and the weekend gathering of┬аG7 leaders in the U.K., it was the stated priority of U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration┬аto get allies and like-minded nations to focus on China.

U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during a media conference at a NATO summit in Brussels, Monday, June 14, 2021. (Francisco Seco/AP)

For Biden,┬аit was also a fence-mending exercise after four years of former U.S. president Donald Trump needling┬аNATO members over military spending┬аand questioning the value of the┬аalliance.

“I want to make it clear,” Biden said ahead of a bilateral meeting with Stoltenberg. “NATO is critically important to U.S. interests in of itself. If there weren’t one, we’d have to invent one.”

While all 30 members signed off on the communique, some┬аEuropean members are skeptical about NATO’s┬аstrategic pivot to confronting┬аChina┬аin the face of a belligerent┬аRussia on the alliance’s┬аdoorstep.

“Russia is a clear threat is what we also stress here, because of Russia’s aggression,” said Estonian Prime Minister Kajah Kallas, appearing on a panel organized by the Brussels Forum, German Marshall Fund of the United States. “They have definitely shown with deeds.”

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stands with European Council President Charles Michel (right) and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen (left) before attending the EU-Canada Summit Monday June 14, 2021 in Brussels, Belgium. (Adrian Wyld/The Canadian Press)

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was on the same panel and suggested the alliance is capable of dealing with both countries at once.

“We can certainly walk and chew gum at the same time,” he said. “We can recognize Russia as a very real and present threat тАж even as we recognize the challenges in the Pacific and China.”

Unlike many of the other leaders, Trudeau did not hold a media availability after the summit and continued with a round of bilateral meetings, including one┬аwith the president of the European Union.

Meanwhile,┬аit was left to Stoltenberg to let down two nations desperate to join┬аNATO: Ukraine and Georgia.

Both countries have been lobbying to get into the alliance for over a decade.┬аUkraine President Volodymyr Zelensky has been increasingly vocal about NATO putting his country on a path toward┬аfull membership.

Stoltenberg left the door open to membership┬аtoday,┬аpledging to increase┬аcapacity-building training. But┬аZelensky┬аspread confusion on┬аTwitter by leaving the impression that┬аNATO had green-lit┬аa membership action plan.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the ├Йlys├йe Palace in Paris. (Thibault Camus/The Associated Press)

Biden shot that notion down, saying Ukraine still needs “to clean up on corruption” and meet other criteria required┬аfor NATO membership.

Speaking to Russian state television last week, Russian┬аPresident Vladimir Putin issued a harsh warning about the prospect┬аof Ukraine joining NATO┬аand obtaining the cherished security guarantee of Article 5 of the North Atlantic Charter тАФ which states┬аthat an attack on one member is an attack on all.

‘Russia … has no say’

Without citing any sources, Putin claimed that more than half of Ukraine’s population is opposed to joining NATO. Ukrainians are, he said, not prepared to see themselves in the crossfire of a potential conflict.

“These are smart people,” Putin said. “They understand, they don’t want to wind up on the firing line, they don’t want to be bargaining chips or cannon fodder.”

Stoltenberg bristled when asked if Ukraine would ever be able to join NATO without Russia’s permission.

“The message is that it is for Ukraine and the 30 allies to decide when Ukraine can become a NATO member,” he said. “Russia, of course, has no say because they don’t … they cannot veto what neighbours can do.”

Also┬аat the summit, the alliance rang down the curtain on its nearly two-decade involvement in Afghanistan,┬аsaying it hopes the security forces┬аin Kabul тАФ┬аmost of them trained by NATO members тАФ┬аwill be able to hold the country.

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